The Mathematics of Maybe: Introduction to Probability | Exercise 7.4

Question 2

Let us say that you have a box containing 3 red pens, 4 black pens and 2 green pens. You pick a pen (without looking) from the box and put it back. Then your friend does the same.

(i) What are the possible outcomes of the pen colours? Can you draw a tree diagram representing the possible outcomes?

(ii) Can you use the tree diagram to guess the probability that both you and your friend pick pens of the same colour?

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Solution

We will list all possible outcomes and then use them to find the required probability.

Step 1 — List all outcomes

First, let's identify the colours of pens available. We have Red (R), Black (B), and Green (G) pens. You pick a pen and put it back. Your friend then picks a pen. The possible outcomes for your pick are R, B, or G. The possible outcomes for your friend's pick are also R, B, or G. We can list all combinations as ordered pairs. The first letter is your pick, and the second is your friend's pick. The set of all possible outcomes is called the sample space. S={(R,R),(R,B),(R,G),(B,R),(B,B),(B,G),(G,R),(G,B),(G,G)}S = \{(R, R), (R, B), (R, G), (B, R), (B, B), (B, G), (G, R), (G, B), (G, G)\} The total number of possible outcomes is 9.

Diagram 1

Step 2 — Find probability of same colour

We want to find the probability that both pick pens of the same colour. Let's look at our list of possible outcomes. We need to find outcomes where both letters are the same. These outcomes are (R, R), (B, B), and (G, G). The number of favourable outcomes is 3. The total number of possible outcomes is 9. We can calculate the probability. P(same colour)=Number of favourable outcomesTotal number of outcomesP(\text{same colour}) = \frac{\text{Number of favourable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}} P(same colour)=39P(\text{same colour}) = \frac{3}{9} P(same colour)=13P(\text{same colour}) = \frac{1}{3}

Probability=13\boxed{\text{Probability} = \frac{1}{3}}

Answer

(i) The possible outcomes of the pen colours are (R, R), (R, B), (R, G), (B, R), (B, B), (B, G), (G, R), (G, B), (G, G). (ii) The probability that both you and your friend pick pens of the same colour is 13\frac{1}{3}.

More questions in Exercise 7.4

Q1

There are two fruit baskets A and B. Basket A has one apple and two oranges. Basket B has one banana and one mango. You randomly pick one fruit from each basket.

(i) Draw a tree diagram showing all possible pairs of fruits.

(ii) List the sample space.

(iii) What is the probability of picking one apple and one banana?

Q2

Let us say that you have a box containing 3 red pens, 4 black pens and 2 green pens. You pick a pen (without looking) from the box and put it back. Then your friend does the same.

(i) What are the possible outcomes of the pen colours? Can you draw a tree diagram representing the possible outcomes?

(ii) Can you use the tree diagram to guess the probability that both you and your friend pick pens of the same colour?

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