Appendix 2: Mathematical Modelling | A2.2

Question 1

In each of the problems below, show the different stages of mathematical modelling for solving the problems.

  1. An ornithologist wants to estimate the number of parrots in a large field. She uses a net to catch some, and catches 32 parrots, which she rings and sets free. The following week she manages to net 40 parrots, of which 8 are ringed.

(i) What fraction of her second catch is ringed? (ii) Find an estimate of the total number of parrots in the field.

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Solution

We will use the capture-recapture method to estimate the total parrot population.

Step 1 — Fraction of ringed parrots

Let's find the fraction of ringed parrots. We look at the second catch. Number of ringed parrots is 8. Total parrots caught are 40.

Fraction=Number of ringed parrotsTotal parrots caught\text{Fraction} = \frac{\text{Number of ringed parrots}}{\text{Total parrots caught}}

=840= \frac{8}{40}

=15= \frac{1}{5}

15\boxed{\frac{1}{5}}

Diagram 1

Step 2 — Estimate total parrots

Let NN be the total number of parrots. We assume the proportion of ringed parrots is the same. Initially, 32 parrots were ringed. In the second catch, 8 out of 40 were ringed.

Ringed in second catchTotal in second catch=Total ringed initiallyTotal population\frac{\text{Ringed in second catch}}{\text{Total in second catch}} = \frac{\text{Total ringed initially}}{\text{Total population}}

840=32N\frac{8}{40} = \frac{32}{N}

15=32N\frac{1}{5} = \frac{32}{N}

N=32×5N = 32 \times 5

160 parrots\boxed{160 \text{ parrots}}

Answer

(i) The fraction of her second catch that is ringed is 15\frac{1}{5}. (ii) An estimate of the total number of parrots in the field is 160.

More questions in A2.2

Q1

In each of the problems below, show the different stages of mathematical modelling for solving the problems.

  1. An ornithologist wants to estimate the number of parrots in a large field. She uses a net to catch some, and catches 32 parrots, which she rings and sets free. The following week she manages to net 40 parrots, of which 8 are ringed.

(i) What fraction of her second catch is ringed? (ii) Find an estimate of the total number of parrots in the field.

Q2

In each of the problems below, show the different stages of mathematical modelling for solving the problems.

  1. Suppose the adjoining figure represents an aerial photograph of a forest with each dot representing a tree. Your purpose is to find the number of trees there are on this tract of land as part of an environmental census.
Q3
  1. A T.V. can be purchased for ₹ 24000 cash or for ₹ 8000 cashdown payment and six monthly instalments of ₹ 2800 each. Ali goes to market to buy a T.V., and he has ₹ 8000 with him. He has now two options. One is to buy TV under instalment scheme or to make cash payment by taking loan from some financial society. The society charges simple interest at the rate of 18% per annum simple interest. Which option is better for Ali?
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